Australian OpenPiso duroSFFriday, January 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Zverev 18%82% Alcaraz
5.19Recorded odds1.16
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Alexander ZverevVSCarlos Alcaraz
4Set 16
6Set 27
7Set 36
7Set 46
5Set 57
Carlos Alcaraz won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Alexander ZverevCarlos Alcaraz
60%
% de vitórias na carreira
80%
62%
% de vitórias em dura
78%
86%
Mantém o saque
86%
19%
Quebra o saque
29%
69%
1º serviço dentro
65%
74%
Pontos no 1º serviço
72%
36%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
8.6
Ases / jogo
4.4
58%
% de tiebreaks
59%
48%
% de sets decisivos
67%
1814
Nível
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Alexander Zverev207 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Carlos Alcaraz187 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
22%Aberto
8%Tronco
22%T
22%T
9%Tronco
17%Aberto
28%Aberto
8%Tronco
16%T
17%T
11%Tronco
20%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T22%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto28%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Carlos Alcaraz defeated Alexander Zverev 6-4, 7-6, 6-7, 6-7, 7-5 in the Australian Open semi-final on hard court, securing his place in the final despite a spirited comeback from the German. As the heavy pre-match favourite at 1.16 odds, Alcaraz controlled the opening sets but faced a stern challenge when Zverev forced a deciding fifth set, levelling the match through two consecutive tie-break victories. The Spaniard's experience and composure ultimately prevailed in the final set, where he broke through Zverev's resistance to claim victory in a gruelling five-set encounter. This result underscores Alcaraz's mental resilience on the Grand Slam stage and sets up a final showdown against an opponent to be determined, whilst Zverev's loss extends his wait for a maiden Grand Slam title.