Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexandre MullerAbrir análise completaSebastian BaezAbrir análise completa

Rio de JaneiroTerra batidaFSunday, February 23, 2025
No-vig market probability
Muller 45%55% Baez
2.13Recorded odds1.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexandre MullerVSSebastian Baez
2Set 16
3Set 26

Sebastian Baez won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexandre MullerSebastian Baez
7%
% de vitórias na carreira
38%
0%
% de vitórias no saibro
55%
64%
Mantém o saque
68%
11%
Quebra o saque
25%
61%
1º serviço dentro
71%
62%
Pontos no 1º serviço
62%
31%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
39%
3.7
Ases / jogo
1.3
25%
% de tiebreaks
17%
0%
% de sets decisivos
54%
1406
Nível
1459
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexandre Muller69 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Sebastian Baez47 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
28%Aberto
7%Tronco
16%T
17%T
10%Tronco
22%Aberto
26%Aberto
4%Tronco
21%T
15%T
19%Tronco
15%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto28%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Sebastian Baez defeated Alexandre Muller 6–2, 6–3 in the final of the ATP 250 Rio de Janeiro tournament on clay on 23 February 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.77 to Muller's 2.13. Baez controlled the match throughout, breaking serve consistently to secure the title in straight sets. The Argentine's dominant performance underlined his comfort on the surface and his ability to convert opportunities when it matters most. This victory adds significant ranking points and momentum to Baez's early-season campaign on the South American clay swing.