Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Alexei PopyrinAbrir análise completaMatteo ArnaldiAbrir análise completa

BrisbanePiso duroR32Monday, December 30, 2024
No-vig market probability
Popyrin 60%40% Arnaldi
1.61Recorded odds2.46
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Alexei PopyrinVSMatteo Arnaldi
3Set 16
2Set 26

Matteo Arnaldi won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Alexei PopyrinMatteo Arnaldi
35%
% de vitórias na carreira
38%
41%
% de vitórias em dura
32%
81%
Mantém o saque
72%
14%
Quebra o saque
19%
62%
1º serviço dentro
57%
74%
Pontos no 1º serviço
68%
33%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
36%
9.2
Ases / jogo
5.3
29%
% de tiebreaks
50%
43%
% de sets decisivos
29%
1488
Nível
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Alexei Popyrin41 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Matteo Arnaldi54 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
17%Aberto
12%Tronco
24%T
17%T
10%Tronco
20%Aberto
13%Aberto
20%Tronco
17%T
13%T
4%Tronco
33%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T24%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Matteo Arnaldi defeated Alexei Popyrin 6–3, 6–2 at the ATP 250 Brisbane tournament on hard court in the first round on 30 December 2024, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Popyrin entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.61, but Arnaldi's clinical performance dismantled the Australian's challenge across two sets, with the Italian breaking serve and maintaining control throughout. The decisive margin and early exit represent a significant setback for Popyrin in the opening week of the season, whilst Arnaldi advances with considerable momentum into the tournament proper.