Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PotapovaAbrir análise completaDaria KasatkinaAbrir análise completa

BrisbanePiso duroR64Sunday, January 4, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 50%50% Kasatkina
1.94Recorded odds1.94
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PotapovaVSDaria Kasatkina
7Set 15
4Set 26
6Set 34

Anastasia Potapova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PotapovaDaria Kasatkina
45%
% de vitórias na carreira
42%
36%
% de vitórias em dura
42%
61%
Mantém o saque
57%
32%
Quebra o saque
38%
58%
1º serviço dentro
68%
64%
Pontos no 1º serviço
59%
42%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
45%
2.4
Ases / jogo
1.5
38%
% de tiebreaks
50%
67%
% de sets decisivos
44%
1559
Nível
1429
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Potapova106 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Daria Kasatkina112 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
24%Aberto
12%Tronco
17%T
14%T
13%Tronco
20%Aberto
28%Aberto
8%Tronco
15%T
21%T
21%Tronco
7%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto24%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Anastasia Potapova defeated Daria Kasatkina 7–5, 4–6, 6–4 in the first round of the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court on 4 January 2026. Despite Kasatkina entering as the pre-match favourite according to the odds, Potapova secured the upset victory in a competitive three-set encounter. The first set went to Potapova 7–5, before Kasatkina levelled the match by taking the second set 6–4. Potapova regained control in the decider, winning 6–4 to advance. The result represents a solid opening victory for Potapova at the tournament and a setback for the seeded Kasatkina in her Brisbane campaign.