Australian OpenPiso duroR64Wednesday, January 21, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 30%70% Raducanu
3.13Recorded odds1.35
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Anastasia PotapovaVSEmma Raducanu
7Set 16
6Set 22
Anastasia Potapova won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Anastasia PotapovaEmma Raducanu
45%
% de vitórias na carreira
52%
36%
% de vitórias em dura
52%
61%
Mantém o saque
69%
32%
Quebra o saque
34%
58%
1º serviço dentro
67%
64%
Pontos no 1º serviço
64%
42%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
43%
2.4
Ases / jogo
2.8
38%
% de tiebreaks
55%
67%
% de sets decisivos
42%
1559
Nível
1604
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Anastasia Potapova66 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Emma Raducanu62 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
18%Aberto
24%Tronco
11%T
15%T
20%Tronco
12%Aberto
15%Aberto
29%Tronco
8%T
27%T
11%Tronco
10%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Ao corpo24%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Ao corpo29%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Anastasia Potapova defeated Emma Raducanu 7–6, 6–2 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 21 January 2026, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Raducanu entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.35, whilst Potapova was priced at 3.13, yet the Russian proved the steadier competitor across both sets. The opening set went to a tiebreak, where Potapova secured the crucial points to claim it, before dominating the second set to close out the match convincingly. The result represents a significant scalp for Potapova's Australian Open campaign and raises questions about Raducanu's current form heading deeper into the tournament.