Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Anastasia PotapovaAbrir análise completaMarta KostyukAbrir análise completa

MadridTerra batidaSFThursday, April 30, 2026
No-vig market probability
Potapova 30%70% Kostyuk
3.20Recorded odds1.34
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Anastasia PotapovaVSMarta Kostyuk
2Set 16
6Set 21
1Set 36

Marta Kostyuk won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Anastasia PotapovaMarta Kostyuk
45%
% de vitórias na carreira
61%
57%
% de vitórias no saibro
64%
61%
Mantém o saque
70%
32%
Quebra o saque
37%
58%
1º serviço dentro
60%
64%
Pontos no 1º serviço
68%
42%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
44%
2.4
Ases / jogo
3.3
38%
% de tiebreaks
55%
67%
% de sets decisivos
50%
1559
Nível
1695
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Anastasia Potapova69 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Marta Kostyuk73 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
16%Aberto
6%Tronco
30%T
14%T
9%Tronco
25%Aberto
10%Aberto
16%Tronco
26%T
4%T
19%Tronco
25%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T30%
Alvo preferidoIguais · T26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Marta Kostyuk defeated Anastasia Potapova 6–2, 1–6, 6–1 in the Madrid Masters 1000 semi-final on clay on 30 April 2026, confirming her status as pre-match favourite with odds of 1.34 to Potapova's 3.2. After dropping the second set, Kostyuk reasserted control in the opening and closing frames, demonstrating the consistency required to navigate the tournament's demanding surface. The Ukrainian's recovery from the second-set lapse proved decisive, as she imposed her game to seal a commanding victory that advanced her to the final. The result underscores Kostyuk's current form on clay and positions her as a genuine contender for the title.