Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Aryna SabalenkaAbrir análise completaElena RybakinaAbrir análise completa

CincinnatiPiso duroQFFriday, August 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Sabalenka 60%40% Rybakina
1.63Recorded odds2.44
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Aryna SabalenkaVSElena Rybakina
1Set 16
4Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Aryna SabalenkaElena Rybakina
70%
% de vitórias na carreira
78%
74%
% de vitórias em dura
80%
77%
Mantém o saque
81%
34%
Quebra o saque
35%
62%
1º serviço dentro
58%
68%
Pontos no 1º serviço
73%
43%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
44%
4.5
Ases / jogo
6.4
81%
% de tiebreaks
57%
44%
% de sets decisivos
60%
1790
Nível
1954
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Aryna Sabalenka43 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Elena Rybakina64 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
21%Aberto
19%Tronco
14%T
9%T
14%Tronco
23%Aberto
28%Aberto
6%Tronco
16%T
5%T
16%Tronco
30%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto23%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Aryna Sabalenka 6–1, 6–4 in the Cincinnati Masters 1000 quarter-final on hard court, an upset victory against the pre-match favourite. Sabalenka entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.63, but Rybakina's dominant performance, particularly in the opening set, proved decisive. The Kazakhstani player's clean execution and court control allowed her to break serve repeatedly and dictate rallies from the baseline. Sabalenka, despite her ranking and seeding status, struggled to find rhythm and was unable to mount a sustained challenge, especially after losing the first set so decisively. Rybakina's convincing win suggests renewed confidence heading into the latter stages of the tournament and marks a significant scalp against one of the tour's top players.