Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Brandon NakashimaAbrir análise completaCarlos AlcarazAbrir análise completa

TokyoPiso duroQFSunday, September 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nakashima 11%89% Alcaraz
8.42Recorded odds1.08
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Brandon NakashimaVSCarlos Alcaraz
2Set 16
4Set 26

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Brandon NakashimaCarlos Alcaraz
41%
% de vitórias na carreira
80%
50%
% de vitórias em dura
78%
85%
Mantém o saque
86%
15%
Quebra o saque
29%
64%
1º serviço dentro
65%
74%
Pontos no 1º serviço
72%
34%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
9.2
Ases / jogo
4.4
36%
% de tiebreaks
59%
44%
% de sets decisivos
67%
1593
Nível
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Brandon Nakashima64 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Carlos Alcaraz45 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
23%Aberto
5%Tronco
23%T
14%T
3%Tronco
31%Aberto
16%Aberto
9%Tronco
31%T
16%T
2%Tronco
27%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto31%
Alvo preferidoIguais · T31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Brandon Nakashima 6–2, 6–4 in the quarter-final of the ATP 250 Tokyo tournament on hard court, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.08 against Nakashima's 8.42. Alcaraz's dominant performance saw him control both sets with consistent serving and baseline precision, allowing Nakashima few opportunities to mount a sustained challenge. The Spaniard's clinical execution in the first set established early momentum, which he maintained throughout the second to secure a convincing progression. This victory underscores Alcaraz's continued form on hard courts and his readiness for the closing stages of the season.