Paris MastersPiso duroR32Tuesday, October 28, 2025
No-vig market probability
Norrie 9%91% Alcaraz
10.54Recorded odds1.05
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Cameron NorrieVSCarlos Alcaraz
4Set 16
6Set 23
6Set 34
Cameron Norrie won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Cameron NorrieCarlos Alcaraz
42%
% de vitórias na carreira
80%
53%
% de vitórias em dura
78%
78%
Mantém o saque
86%
15%
Quebra o saque
29%
64%
1º serviço dentro
65%
70%
Pontos no 1º serviço
72%
34%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
4.1
Ases / jogo
4.4
56%
% de tiebreaks
59%
69%
% de sets decisivos
67%
1542
Nível
1946
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Cameron Norrie92 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Carlos Alcaraz95 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
13%Aberto
13%Tronco
25%T
3%T
14%Tronco
32%Aberto
16%Aberto
25%Tronco
11%T
22%T
12%Tronco
15%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto32%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Ao corpo25%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Cameron Norrie defeated Carlos Alcaraz 4–6, 6–3, 6–4 in the first round of the Paris Masters on hard court, pulling off a significant upset against the overwhelming pre-match favourite. Alcaraz entered as a prohibitive favourite at 1.05 odds, whilst Norrie was priced at 10.54, reflecting the world No. 2's dominance and recent form. After losing the opening set, Norrie regrouped decisively, winning the second set 6–3 before closing out the match in the third set with a 6–4 scoreline. The result marks a notable scalp for Norrie at a Masters 1000 event and suggests improved form heading into the latter stages of the autumn hard-court season. Alcaraz's loss represents a rare stumble at a tournament where he typically contends strongly.