Indian Wells MastersPiso duroSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 81%19% Medvedev
1.17Recorded odds4.84
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Carlos AlcarazVSDaniil Medvedev
3Set 16
6Set 27
Daniil Medvedev won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Carlos AlcarazDaniil Medvedev
80%
% de vitórias na carreira
69%
78%
% de vitórias em dura
70%
86%
Mantém o saque
85%
29%
Quebra o saque
25%
65%
1º serviço dentro
63%
72%
Pontos no 1º serviço
75%
41%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
39%
4.4
Ases / jogo
8.4
59%
% de tiebreaks
52%
67%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1946
Nível
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Carlos Alcaraz62 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Daniil Medvedev75 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
27%Aberto
2%Tronco
24%T
15%T
6%Tronco
26%Aberto
39%Aberto
1%Tronco
12%T
35%T
1%Tronco
12%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto27%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto39%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Daniil Medvedev upset pre-match favourite Carlos Alcaraz 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on hard court, a result that defied the odds which favoured Alcaraz at 1.17 to 4.84. Medvedev's composed performance, particularly in a tight second set decided in a tie-break, demonstrated his capacity to compete at the highest level against the world's elite. The Russian's victory on the California hard courts underscores his continued resilience and tactical acumen in Masters events. This result significantly reshapes the tournament's trajectory and suggests Medvedev remains a formidable contender in best-of-three formats.