Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazAbrir análise completaDaniil MedvedevAbrir análise completa

Indian Wells MastersPiso duroSFSaturday, March 14, 2026
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 81%19% Medvedev
1.17Recorded odds4.84
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSDaniil Medvedev
3Set 16
6Set 27

Daniil Medvedev won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazDaniil Medvedev
80%
% de vitórias na carreira
69%
78%
% de vitórias em dura
70%
86%
Mantém o saque
85%
29%
Quebra o saque
25%
65%
1º serviço dentro
63%
72%
Pontos no 1º serviço
75%
41%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
39%
4.4
Ases / jogo
8.4
59%
% de tiebreaks
52%
67%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1946
Nível
1722
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz62 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Daniil Medvedev75 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
27%Aberto
2%Tronco
24%T
15%T
6%Tronco
26%Aberto
39%Aberto
1%Tronco
12%T
35%T
1%Tronco
12%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto27%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto39%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Daniil Medvedev upset pre-match favourite Carlos Alcaraz 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells on hard court, a result that defied the odds which favoured Alcaraz at 1.17 to 4.84. Medvedev's composed performance, particularly in a tight second set decided in a tie-break, demonstrated his capacity to compete at the highest level against the world's elite. The Russian's victory on the California hard courts underscores his continued resilience and tactical acumen in Masters events. This result significantly reshapes the tournament's trajectory and suggests Medvedev remains a formidable contender in best-of-three formats.