Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazAbrir análise completaJannik SinnerAbrir análise completa

Tour FinalsPiso duroFSunday, November 16, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 35%65% Sinner
2.80Recorded odds1.50
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSJannik Sinner
6Set 17
5Set 27

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazJannik Sinner
80%
% de vitórias na carreira
78%
78%
% de vitórias em dura
79%
86%
Mantém o saque
88%
29%
Quebra o saque
28%
65%
1º serviço dentro
61%
72%
Pontos no 1º serviço
76%
41%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
4.4
Ases / jogo
6.5
59%
% de tiebreaks
69%
67%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1946
Nível
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz72 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Jannik Sinner78 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
21%Aberto
8%Tronco
25%T
12%T
10%Tronco
24%Aberto
19%Aberto
5%Tronco
29%T
10%T
5%Tronco
31%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T25%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Carlos Alcaraz 7–6, 7–5 in the ATP Tour Finals final on a hard court, confirming his status as the tournament favourite with odds of 1.5 against Alcaraz's 2.8. Sinner's composed performance in both sets, particularly his ability to secure the opening tiebreak and maintain pressure in the second, proved decisive in claiming the year-end championship. The Italian's victory underlines his ascendancy in men's tennis heading into 2026, having now established a significant edge in their head-to-head record and cemented his position among the sport's elite.