Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Carlos AlcarazAbrir análise completaReilly OpelkaAbrir análise completa

US OpenPiso duroR128Tuesday, August 26, 2025
No-vig market probability
Alcaraz 93%7% Opelka
1.05Recorded odds14.58
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Carlos AlcarazVSReilly Opelka
6Set 14
7Set 25
6Set 34

Carlos Alcaraz won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Carlos AlcarazReilly Opelka
80%
% de vitórias na carreira
50%
78%
% de vitórias em dura
50%
86%
Mantém o saque
90%
29%
Quebra o saque
8%
65%
1º serviço dentro
66%
72%
Pontos no 1º serviço
77%
41%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
28%
4.4
Ases / jogo
16.4
59%
% de tiebreaks
54%
67%
% de sets decisivos
46%
1946
Nível
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Carlos Alcaraz84 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Reilly Opelka104 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
30%Aberto
4%Tronco
19%T
13%T
2%Tronco
32%Aberto
25%Aberto
4%Tronco
24%T
12%T
2%Tronco
33%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto32%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto33%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Carlos Alcaraz defeated Reilly Opelka 6–4, 7–5, 6–4 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 26 August 2025, confirming his status as the heavy pre-match favourite with odds of 1.05 to Opelka's 14.58. The Spanish world number one controlled the encounter with consistent baseline play, securing breaks at decisive moments in each set to advance without significant resistance. Opelka, the American big server, struggled to impose his usual serving dominance and found few opportunities to pressure Alcaraz's return game or dictate rallies from the baseline. The straightforward victory maintains Alcaraz's formidable form on hard courts and sets up a favourable trajectory through the draw.