Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daniil MedvedevAbrir análise completaLearner TienAbrir análise completa

Australian OpenPiso duroR16Sunday, January 25, 2026
No-vig market probability
Medvedev 66%34% Tien
1.43Recorded odds2.75
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daniil MedvedevVSLearner Tien
4Set 16
0Set 26
3Set 36

Learner Tien won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daniil MedvedevLearner Tien
69%
% de vitórias na carreira
61%
70%
% de vitórias em dura
62%
85%
Mantém o saque
78%
25%
Quebra o saque
24%
63%
1º serviço dentro
64%
75%
Pontos no 1º serviço
69%
39%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
39%
8.4
Ases / jogo
4.7
52%
% de tiebreaks
75%
56%
% de sets decisivos
43%
1722
Nível
1643
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daniil Medvedev85 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Learner Tien68 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
21%Aberto
11%Tronco
21%T
27%T
4%Tronco
16%Aberto
21%Aberto
7%Tronco
25%T
15%T
3%Tronco
29%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · T27%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto29%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Learner Tien produced a dominant upset over Daniil Medvedev in the Australian Open round of 16 on hard court, winning 6-4, 6-0, 6-3 on 25 January 2026. Despite Medvedev's status as the pre-match favourite at odds of 1.43, the American emerged with a commanding performance, particularly in the second set where he conceded no games. Tien's clinical execution and consistency throughout the match proved too much for the Russian, who struggled to find rhythm and solutions across all three sets. The decisive nature of the victory—especially the bagel in the second set—underscored the gulf in form on the day. This result marks a significant breakthrough for Tien at Grand Slam level, eliminating a former top-three player and advancing to the quarterfinals.