Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Daria KasatkinaAbrir análise completaLiudmila SamsonovaAbrir análise completa

Indian WellsPiso duroR32Monday, March 10, 2025
No-vig market probability
Kasatkina 59%41% Samsonova
1.67Recorded odds2.36
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Daria KasatkinaVSLiudmila Samsonova
6Set 12
3Set 26
2Set 36

Liudmila Samsonova won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Daria KasatkinaLiudmila Samsonova
42%
% de vitórias na carreira
58%
42%
% de vitórias em dura
56%
57%
Mantém o saque
73%
38%
Quebra o saque
29%
68%
1º serviço dentro
57%
59%
Pontos no 1º serviço
70%
45%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
1.5
Ases / jogo
4.4
50%
% de tiebreaks
44%
44%
% de sets decisivos
53%
1429
Nível
1591
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Daria Kasatkina70 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Liudmila Samsonova85 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
14%Aberto
14%Tronco
24%T
24%T
10%Tronco
13%Aberto
25%Aberto
18%Tronco
9%T
8%T
13%Tronco
27%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T24%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto27%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Liudmila Samsonova defeated Daria Kasatkina 2–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the Indian Wells R32 on hard court on 10 March 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Kasatkina, the odds-on pick at 1.67, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening set, allowing Samsonova to build momentum through the middle and closing stages. Samsonova's improved consistency in the second and third sets proved decisive, as she neutralised Kasatkina's early dominance and secured the straight-sets turnaround. The result marks a significant scalp for Samsonova at the Masters 1000 level and suggests a potential shift in their recent head-to-head dynamic.