Indian Wells MastersPiso duroR32Sunday, March 8, 2026
No-vig market probability
Shapovalov 8%92% Sinner
11.16Recorded odds1.03
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Denis ShapovalovVSJannik Sinner
3Set 16
2Set 26
Jannik Sinner won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Denis ShapovalovJannik Sinner
43%
% de vitórias na carreira
78%
47%
% de vitórias em dura
79%
82%
Mantém o saque
88%
17%
Quebra o saque
28%
60%
1º serviço dentro
61%
74%
Pontos no 1º serviço
76%
35%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
41%
8.0
Ases / jogo
6.5
49%
% de tiebreaks
69%
24%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1604
Nível
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Denis Shapovalov56 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Jannik Sinner43 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
21%Aberto
4%Tronco
25%T
16%T
5%Tronco
29%Aberto
26%Aberto
0%Tronco
26%T
28%T
5%Tronco
16%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto29%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · T28%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Jannik Sinner defeated Denis Shapovalov 6–3, 6–2 in the second round of the Indian Wells Masters on hard court, justifying his status as a heavy pre-match favourite at odds of 1.03. Shapovalov, trading at 11.16, offered little resistance as Sinner controlled the match from the outset, breaking serve multiple times and maintaining consistent pressure throughout both sets. The Italian's dominance was evident in the scoreline, with Shapovalov unable to mount a sustained challenge despite his reputation for aggressive tennis. This commanding performance underscores Sinner's current form and standing among the tour's elite, positioning him well for deeper tournament runs as he continues his 2026 campaign.