Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaAbrir análise completaJessica PegulaAbrir análise completa

Australian OpenPiso duroSFThursday, January 29, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 66%34% Pegula
1.43Recorded odds2.77
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSJessica Pegula
6Set 13
7Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaJessica Pegula
78%
% de vitórias na carreira
60%
80%
% de vitórias em dura
62%
81%
Mantém o saque
72%
35%
Quebra o saque
36%
58%
1º serviço dentro
62%
73%
Pontos no 1º serviço
66%
44%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
44%
6.4
Ases / jogo
2.9
57%
% de tiebreaks
53%
60%
% de sets decisivos
54%
1954
Nível
1809
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina73 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Jessica Pegula76 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
12%Aberto
12%Tronco
26%T
21%T
11%Tronco
18%Aberto
18%Aberto
20%Tronco
13%T
9%T
30%Tronco
9%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T26%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Ao corpo30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Jessica Pegula 6–3, 7–6 in the semi-final of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming her status as the pre-match favourite with odds of 1.43 to Pegula's 2.77. Rybakina's composed performance across both sets, particularly her tiebreak conversion in the second, secured her passage to the final and maintained her unbeaten record against the American in this tournament. The result extends Rybakina's recent dominance at Melbourne Park and positions her as a genuine contender for the title.