Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Elena RybakinaAbrir análise completaKarolína MuchováAbrir análise completa

BrisbanePiso duroQFFriday, January 9, 2026
No-vig market probability
Rybakina 77%23% Muchová
1.26Recorded odds4.29
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Elena RybakinaVSKarolína Muchová
2Set 16
6Set 22
4Set 36

Karolína Muchová won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Elena RybakinaKarolína Muchová
78%
% de vitórias na carreira
65%
80%
% de vitórias em dura
69%
81%
Mantém o saque
76%
35%
Quebra o saque
34%
58%
1º serviço dentro
63%
73%
Pontos no 1º serviço
67%
44%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
43%
6.4
Ases / jogo
3.6
57%
% de tiebreaks
73%
60%
% de sets decisivos
56%
1954
Nível
1746
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Elena Rybakina91 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Karolína Muchová69 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
19%Aberto
13%Tronco
20%T
9%T
4%Tronco
35%Aberto
12%Aberto
28%Tronco
14%T
19%T
4%Tronco
23%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto35%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Ao corpo28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Karolína Muchová upset favourite Elena Rybakina 6–2, 2–6, 6–4 in the quarter-final of the Brisbane WTA 250 on hard court. Rybakina entered as the odds-on favourite at 1.26, with Muchová priced at 4.29, yet the Czech player delivered a composed performance to claim victory in three sets. After losing the opening set decisively, Muchová levelled the match with a commanding second set before seizing control in the decider to secure her place in the semi-finals. The comeback victory demonstrates Muchová's ability to read and adapt to her opponent's game, particularly after a sluggish start. This result significantly boosts Muchová's Brisbane campaign and marks a notable scalp against a top-ranked opponent.