Roland GarrosTerra batidaR128Tuesday, May 27, 2025
No-vig market probability
Auger-Aliassime 52%48% Arnaldi
1.87Recorded odds2.05
FINAL RESULT
Match score
Félix Auger-AliassimeVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 15
6Set 22
3Set 36
4Set 46
2Set 56
Matteo Arnaldi won the match
CAREER COMPARISON
Player records
Félix Auger-AliassimeMatteo Arnaldi
49%
% de vitórias na carreira
38%
45%
% de vitórias no saibro
60%
84%
Mantém o saque
72%
16%
Quebra o saque
19%
64%
1º serviço dentro
57%
76%
Pontos no 1º serviço
68%
35%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
36%
9.4
Ases / jogo
5.3
48%
% de tiebreaks
50%
56%
% de sets decisivos
29%
1639
Nível
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT
Serve targets from this match
Félix Auger-Aliassime137 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Matteo Arnaldi172 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
28%Aberto
6%Tronco
19%T
20%T
12%Tronco
16%Aberto
17%Aberto
9%Tronco
26%T
13%T
5%Tronco
30%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto28%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto30%
MATCH STORY
PhantomStat recap
Matteo Arnaldi defeated Félix Auger-Aliassime 5–7, 2–6, 6–3, 6–4, 6–2 in the first round of Roland Garros on clay on 27 May 2025, pulling off an upset against the pre-match favourite. Auger-Aliassime, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.87, struggled to maintain control after losing the opening two sets on the slow surface. Arnaldi, despite entering as the underdog at 2.05, mounted a decisive comeback from two sets down, reeling off three consecutive sets to secure the victory. The Italian's clay-court resilience proved decisive as Auger-Aliassime's form deteriorated in the latter stages of the match. The result marks a notable upset and suggests Arnaldi possesses the tactical nous and consistency required for a deep run on the Paris clay.