Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneAbrir análise completaReilly OpelkaAbrir análise completa

Miami MastersPiso duroR64Saturday, March 22, 2025
No-vig market probability
Rune 67%33% Opelka
1.46Recorded odds2.91
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSReilly Opelka
6Set 14
3Set 26
6Set 37

Reilly Opelka won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneReilly Opelka
53%
% de vitórias na carreira
50%
51%
% de vitórias em dura
50%
79%
Mantém o saque
90%
17%
Quebra o saque
8%
61%
1º serviço dentro
66%
70%
Pontos no 1º serviço
77%
35%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
28%
5.1
Ases / jogo
16.4
54%
% de tiebreaks
54%
50%
% de sets decisivos
46%
1578
Nível
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune93 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Reilly Opelka93 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
24%Aberto
3%Tronco
26%T
25%T
1%Tronco
22%Aberto
35%Aberto
1%Tronco
16%T
20%T
3%Tronco
24%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T26%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto35%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Reilly Opelka defeated Holger Rune 4–6, 6–3, 7–6 in the first round of the Miami Masters on hard court on 22 March 2025, upsetting the pre-match favourite. Rune, seeded higher in the betting odds at 1.46, struggled to maintain consistency through three sets, losing the opener before recovering in the second. The match went to a deciding tiebreak, which Opelka claimed to secure a notable upset victory. The American's ability to convert under pressure in the third set proved decisive, particularly in the tiebreak where Rune could not close out the contest despite having opportunities. This result represents a significant scalp for Opelka early in the tournament and raises questions about Rune's form heading into the latter stages of the Miami event.