Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Holger RuneAbrir análise completaRoberto Carballes BaenaAbrir análise completa

US OpenPiso duroR128Monday, August 28, 2023
No-vig market probability
Rune 88%12% Baena
1.11Recorded odds8.09
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Holger RuneVSRoberto Carballes Baena
3Set 16
6Set 24
3Set 36
2Set 46

Roberto Carballes Baena won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Holger RuneRoberto Carballes Baena
54%
% de vitórias na carreira
40%
52%
% de vitórias em dura
33%
80%
Mantém o saque
71%
17%
Quebra o saque
18%
61%
1º serviço dentro
66%
70%
Pontos no 1º serviço
64%
35%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
36%
5.1
Ases / jogo
2.2
56%
% de tiebreaks
50%
52%
% de sets decisivos
57%
1600
Nível
1507
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Holger Rune108 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Roberto Carballes Baena101 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
33%Aberto
6%Tronco
13%T
25%T
4%Tronco
19%Aberto
28%Aberto
10%Tronco
14%T
9%T
17%Tronco
23%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto33%
Alvo preferidoIguais · Aberto28%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Roberto Carballes Baena defeated Holger Rune 6–3, 4–6, 6–3, 6–2 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 28 August 2023, delivering a significant upset against the pre-match favourite. Rune entered as the heavy favourite with odds of 1.11, while Carballes Baena was priced at 8.09, reflecting expectations that the Danish player would advance comfortably. However, the Spanish competitor executed a composed performance, taking control after a competitive opening set and consolidating his advantage through the third and fourth sets to secure a commanding victory. The result marked a notable early exit for Rune at Flushing Meadows and demonstrated Carballes Baena's capacity to trouble higher-ranked opponents on the hard court stage.