Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Kei NishikoriAbrir análise completaTommy PaulAbrir análise completa

Australian OpenPiso duroR64Wednesday, January 15, 2025
No-vig market probability
Nishikori 33%67% Paul
2.97Recorded odds1.45
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Kei NishikoriVSTommy Paul
7Set 16
0Set 26
3Set 36
1Set 46

Tommy Paul won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Kei NishikoriTommy Paul
53%
% de vitórias na carreira
50%
45%
% de vitórias em dura
50%
77%
Mantém o saque
80%
22%
Quebra o saque
21%
62%
1º serviço dentro
62%
68%
Pontos no 1º serviço
71%
38%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
37%
2.9
Ases / jogo
5.1
41%
% de tiebreaks
35%
60%
% de sets decisivos
55%
1604
Nível
1702
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Kei Nishikori129 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Tommy Paul104 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
15%Aberto
19%Tronco
19%T
9%T
18%Tronco
21%Aberto
17%Aberto
18%Tronco
16%T
12%T
21%Tronco
14%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto21%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Ao corpo21%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Tommy Paul defeated Kei Nishikori 6–7, 6–0, 6–3, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court, confirming his pre-match favourite status with odds of 1.45 against Nishikori's 2.97. After losing a tight opening set to the Japanese veteran, Paul asserted complete control from the second set onward, dismantling his opponent's resistance with successive commanding displays. The American's dominance in the final two sets—particularly the bagel in the second—underscored a significant performance gap once the match's momentum shifted. Paul's progression sets up a second-round encounter that will test whether he can maintain this level against stiffer opposition at Melbourne Park.