Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiAbrir análise completaMatteo ArnaldiAbrir análise completa

Australian OpenPiso duroR128Tuesday, January 14, 2025
No-vig market probability
Musetti 61%39% Arnaldi
1.60Recorded odds2.50
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSMatteo Arnaldi
7Set 16
4Set 26
7Set 36
6Set 43

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiMatteo Arnaldi
56%
% de vitórias na carreira
38%
45%
% de vitórias em dura
32%
79%
Mantém o saque
72%
22%
Quebra o saque
19%
64%
1º serviço dentro
57%
69%
Pontos no 1º serviço
68%
38%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
36%
3.7
Ases / jogo
5.3
45%
% de tiebreaks
50%
69%
% de sets decisivos
29%
1634
Nível
1462
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti147 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Matteo Arnaldi183 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
18%Aberto
7%Tronco
25%T
22%T
10%Tronco
18%Aberto
16%Aberto
10%Tronco
26%T
14%T
5%Tronco
30%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoIguais · T25%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto30%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated fellow Italian Matteo Arnaldi 7–6, 4–6, 7–6, 6–3 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 14 January 2025, confirming his status as pre-match favourite at odds of 1.6 to Arnaldi's 2.5. The match proved competitive through three sets, with both players claiming a tiebreak apiece before Musetti seized control in the fourth to secure passage to the second round. The result extends Musetti's head-to-head record against his compatriot and demonstrates his capability to navigate tight contests at Grand Slam level early in the season.