Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Lorenzo MusettiAbrir análise completaReilly OpelkaAbrir análise completa

US OpenPiso duroR128Monday, August 26, 2024
No-vig market probability
Musetti 70%30% Opelka
1.40Recorded odds3.22
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Lorenzo MusettiVSReilly Opelka
7Set 16
1Set 26
6Set 31
7Set 45

Lorenzo Musetti won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Lorenzo MusettiReilly Opelka
56%
% de vitórias na carreira
50%
45%
% de vitórias em dura
50%
79%
Mantém o saque
90%
22%
Quebra o saque
8%
64%
1º serviço dentro
66%
69%
Pontos no 1º serviço
77%
38%
Pontos de devolução ganhos
28%
3.7
Ases / jogo
16.4
45%
% de tiebreaks
54%
69%
% de sets decisivos
46%
1634
Nível
1554
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Lorenzo Musetti114 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
Reilly Opelka135 serves
Onde coloca o serviço
23%Aberto
7%Tronco
22%T
16%T
9%Tronco
24%Aberto
24%Aberto
7%Tronco
21%T
13%T
8%Tronco
26%Aberto
IguaisVantagemIguaisVantagem
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto24%
Alvo preferidoVantagem · Aberto26%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Lorenzo Musetti defeated Reilly Opelka 7–6, 1–6, 6–1, 7–5 in the first round of the US Open on hard court on 26 August 2024, confirming his pre-match favourite status with odds of 1.4 to Opelka's 3.22. The Italian's performance was uneven across four sets, surrendering the second set decisively before reasserting control in the third. The opening set went to a tiebreak, then the fourth required a late surge to secure the win. Musetti's ability to recover from the second-set lapse and dominate the third demonstrates the mental resilience required at Grand Slams, though the inconsistency will demand refinement in subsequent rounds.