Rafael Tobias

Rafael "Bipolar" Tobias is a 21-year-old Brazilian orthodox fighter holding a 14-2 professional record. The 6'2" light heavyweight operates as a submission-focused grappler, averaging 2.40 takedowns per 15 minutes with perfect 100% takedown defense, complemented by a dangerous 1.6 submission attempts per 15 minutes that reflects his primary finishing threat.

His striking volume remains modest at 2.77 strikes landed per minute with 36% accuracy, while his defensive metrics reveal vulnerability—absorbing 5.81 strikes per minute with only 35% striking defense. Tobias demonstrated his submission prowess in a dominant September 2025 victory over Jair De Oliveira, securing a first-round submission at 3:46, but subsequently struggled against Diyar Nurgozhay in March 2026, losing a unanimous decision over three rounds.

His cardio score of 54 suggests stamina concerns that may have contributed to the Nurgozhay setback. At this early stage of his career, Tobias must improve his striking efficiency and durability to compete consistently at the higher levels of the light heavyweight division, where volume strikers and well-rounded grapplers tend to thrive.