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Sunday, October 12, 2025

Burkina FasoOpen full analysisEthiopiaOpen full analysis

FIFA World Cup, Qualification CAF, Group A 11.15X6.85217.97
SEO Match Summary
Burkina Faso secured a commanding 3–1 victory over Ethiopia in FIFA World Cup qualifying Group A, demonstrating superior efficiency despite modest underlying metrics. The hosts' 4–5-1 setup proved effective against Ethiopia's 4–2–3–1 formation, with Burkina Faso generating 0.87 xG to Ethiopia's 0.32, a significant quality differential that translated into three goals. Burkina Faso's goalkeeper performed solidly, conceding 1.0 post-shot xG while maintaining a clean sheet relative to expected performance. Ethiopia's attacking output remained limited throughout, managing just 0.32 xG in their failed bid to trouble the hosts consistently. The scoreline reflects Burkina Faso's controlled approach and clinical finishing, moving them closer to World Cup qualification. This result strengthens Burkina Faso's grip on Group A standings.
Burkina Faso B Burkina Faso
3 1
Full Time
Ethiopia E Ethiopia
P. L. Kabore65', 82', 90+6'
B. Ayten84'
Starting Line-ups
Burkina Faso · 4-5-1 Ethiopia · 4-2-3-1
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 0.45 0.02
Yellow Cards 1 3
Total Goals4
Formation4-5-1vs4-2-3-1
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Burkina Faso GK
PSxG conceded1.00
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.00
Ethiopia GK
PSxG conceded
Goals conceded3
Burkina Faso's keeper performed right in line with expectations.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot