DC United claimed a 2-1 victory at Chicago Fire on 15 March, exploiting the hosts' profligacy despite being outshot 15-13. Chicago dominated territorially with an expected goals tally of 1.93, yet their goalkeeper proved a liability rather than a shield, posting a 50 per cent save percentage and conceding 0.24 goals above expected after facing just two shots on target. DC United's 4-4-2 formation proved tactically sound, generating four shots on target from 1.61 xG to secure the win through Matti Peltola and Tai Baribo's goals, while Hugo Cuypers' effort proved merely consolation for Chicago's 4-2-3-1 setup. Sergii Demianchuk refereed the contest without incident. The result underscores Chicago's conversion problems despite creating chances.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Chicago Fire GK
PSxG conceded1.34
Goals conceded2
Goals saved-0.66
Save %50.0%
DC United GK
PSxG conceded0.76
Goals conceded1
Goals saved-0.24
Save %50.0%
DC United's keeper performed right in line with expectations, while Chicago Fire's keeper let in roughly 0.7 goal more than an average keeper would.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot
