FC Cincinnati secured a 3-2 victory at Chicago Fire on 3 May in an MLS encounter defined by the home side's dominance in volume yet profligacy in execution. Chicago created significantly more opportunities, registering 33 shots with 10 on target and an expected goals tally of 4.47, yet their goalkeeper's save percentage of 80 per cent proved insufficient to overcome Cincinnati's clinical finishing. The visitors, operating in a 3-4-1-2 shape, were ruthlessly efficient with limited possession, managing just 10 shots but capitalising on their xG of 1.58 through Evander's three-goal haul, whilst Chicago's Hugo Cuypers netted twice in defeat. Chicago's 4-2-3-1 formation generated sustained pressure but lacked the cutting edge, with goalkeeper performance metrics revealing a post-shot expected goals conceded of 4.22 against an actual concession of three, indicating some defensive organisation. Cincinnati's counter-attacking approach proved devastatingly effective against a Fire side that dominated territorially but faltered decisively in the final third. Cincinnati's clinical efficiency marks them as serious contenders despite limited shot volume.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Chicago Fire GK
PSxG conceded2.34
Goals conceded3
Goals saved-0.66
Save %25.0%
FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded4.22
Goals conceded2
Goals saved2.22
Save %80.0%
FC Cincinnati's keeper was outstanding, while Chicago Fire's keeper let in roughly 0.7 goal more than an average keeper would.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot