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Saturday, May 9, 2026

Chicago FireOpen full analysisNew York Red BullsOpen full analysis

MLS 11.48X5.0025.46
SEO Match Summary
New York Red Bulls claimed a commanding 3-1 victory over Chicago Fire in an MLS encounter that exposed the hosts' defensive vulnerabilities. The visitors' 4-1-4-1 formation proved more effective than Chicago's 4-2-3-1 setup, with Red Bulls generating a decisive xG advantage of 1.49 to 0.78 despite attempting fewer shots (9 to 15). Chicago created volume with 15 shots but converted poorly, managing only four on target, while their goalkeeper's save percentage of 75% masked deeper problems—conceding 0.57 post-shot xG above expectations indicated poor positioning. Red Bulls' efficiency was clinical: three different scorers—Jorge Ruvalcaba, Cade Cowell, and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting—combined with Hugo Cuypers' lone Fire response to seal a comprehensive away performance. Chicago's dominance in shot count proved meaningless against Red Bulls' superior finishing and structural discipline. The result underscores Red Bulls' growing momentum in the eastern conference standings.
Chicago Fire C Chicago Fire
1 3
Full Time
New York Red Bulls N New York Red Bulls
H. Cuypers87'
C. Cowell49'J. Ruvalcaba45'E. M. Choupo-Moting81' R. Donkor49'E. Forsberg45'
Starting Line-ups
Chicago Fire · 4-2-3-1 New York Red Bulls · 4-1-4-1
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 0.78 1.49
Shots 15 9
Shots on Target 4 4
Possession 64% 36%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.92 0.57
Yellow Cards 1 3
Corners 6 3
Total Goals4
Formation4-2-3-1vs4-1-4-1
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Chicago Fire GK
PSxG conceded1.92
Goals conceded3
Goals saved-1.08
Save %25.0%
New York Red Bulls GK
PSxG conceded0.57
Goals conceded1
Goals saved-0.43
Save %75.0%
New York Red Bulls's keeper let in roughly 0.4 goal more than an average keeper would, while Chicago Fire's keeper let in roughly 1.1 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot