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Saturday, October 11, 2025

EstoniaOpen full analysisItalyOpen full analysis

World Cup Qual. UEFA I 132.26X13.1221.06
SEO Match Summary
Italy dominated their World Cup qualifier against Estonia with a commanding 3-1 victory, establishing clear superiority through their 3-4-2-1 formation's attacking prowess. The visitors' dominance was evident in the shot count, firing 24 attempts with nine on target compared to Estonia's modest two shots and one on target, whilst Italy's expected goals of 2.65 dwarfed their opponents' 0.77. Francesco Pio Esposito and Moise Kean each found the net for the Azzurri, who controlled the match through sustained pressure in midfield and width down the flanks. Estonia's 4-2-3-1 setup offered limited attacking threat, managing just one goal despite a respectable xG figure that suggested some defensive vulnerability. Italy's goalkeeper recorded a save percentage of zero, though this reflected the hosts' inability to create genuine chances rather than any defensive fragility. The result underscores Italy's credentials as strong contenders in the qualifying group.
Estonia E Estonia
1 3
Full Time
Italy I Italy
R. Sappinen76'
M. Kean4'M. Retegui38'F. P. Esposito74' R. Orsolini38'F. Dimarco4'L. Spinazzola74'
Starting Line-ups
Estonia · 4-2-3-1 Italy · 3-4-2-1
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 0.77 2.65
Shots 2 24
Shots on Target 1 9
Possession 36% 64%
Yellow Cards 4 3
Corners 0 8
Total Goals4
Formation4-2-3-1vs3-4-2-1
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Estonia GK
PSxG conceded3.00
Goals conceded3
Goals saved0.00
Save %66.7%
Italy GK
PSxG conceded1.00
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.00
Save %0.0%
Both keepers had a routine night, with little to separate them.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot