Estonia and Moldova drew 1-1 in a World Cup qualifier that reflected the visitors' slightly superior chance creation despite the hosts' greater shot volume. Operating in a 4-4-1-1 shape, Estonia generated 17 attempts but managed only four on target, accumulating 0.74 expected goals; their goalkeeper maintained a 75% save percentage while conceding 1.0 post-shot expected goals. Moldova, organised in a defensive 5-3-2 formation, proved more clinical with their opportunities, posting identical shot numbers on target but registering 0.84 xG from 16 attempts. The balance of play suggested neither side could impose sufficient control to claim victory, with both teams vulnerable to counter-attacks despite their contrasting approaches. Igor Pajac oversaw a competitive but ultimately inconclusive encounter that leaves both nations' qualification hopes unresolved.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Estonia GK
PSxG conceded1.00
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.00
Save %75.0%
Moldova GK
PSxG conceded1.00
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.00
Save %75.0%
Both keepers had a routine night, with little to separate them.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot