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Sunday, April 19, 2026

FC CincinnatiOpen full analysisChicago FireOpen full analysis

MLS 12.58X3.4622.54
SEO Match Summary
FC Cincinnati and Chicago Fire played out a thrilling 3–3 draw in MLS action on 19 April, with the hosts dominating possession and chance creation despite failing to convert their superiority into victory. Cincinnati's 3–4–1 formation proved effective in generating attacking opportunities, registering 23 shots and 9 on target against the Fire's more conservative 4–4–2 setup, which managed only 18 shots and 6 on target. The expected goals metric starkly illustrated Cincinnati's control: they accumulated 4.12 xG to Chicago's 1.75, yet Hugo Cuypers' clinical finishing—netting twice—kept the visitors competitive. Tom Barlow and Evander added Cincinnati's other goals, while Philip Zinckernagel also scored for the Fire. Chicago's goalkeeper proved a liability, posting a 50% save percentage and conceding 1.03 goals above expected performance, undermining their defensive discipline. Referee Malik Badawi oversaw a match that exposed Cincinnati's finishing deficiency despite their overwhelming dominance. Cincinnati's inability to capitalise on such statistical superiority raises questions about their clinical edge.
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
3 3
Draw
Chicago Fire C Chicago Fire
Evander79'T. Barlow42'
P. Zinckernagel45+5'H. Cuypers26', 48' P. Zinckernagel26'
Starting Line-ups
FC Cincinnati · 3-4-1-2 Chicago Fire · 4-4-2
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 4.12 1.75
Shots 23 18
Shots on Target 9 6
Possession 55% 45%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.97 3.99
Yellow Cards 4 3
Corners 9 1
Total Goals6
Formation3-4-1-2vs4-4-2
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded1.97
Goals conceded3
Goals saved-1.03
Save %50.0%
Chicago Fire GK
PSxG conceded3.99
Goals conceded3
Goals saved0.99
Save %66.7%
Chicago Fire's keeper stopped about 1.0 goal more than an average keeper would, while FC Cincinnati's keeper let in roughly 1.0 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot