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Thursday, August 20, 2026

FC CincinnatiOpen full analysisNew York City FCOpen full analysis

MLS 11.85X4.0823.55
SEO Match Summary
FC Cincinnati beat New York City FC 2-1 in MLS, using their 3-5-2 shape to control central areas while relying on decisive finishing and strong goalkeeping against NYCFC’s 4-2-3-1. Kenji Mboma Dem and Evander scored for Cincinnati, with Luighi Hanri replying for the visitors. The hosts had 56% possession and registered six shots on target from 14 attempts, but New York City carried a substantial attacking threat, producing eight efforts on target from 16 shots. NYCFC also recorded the higher xG total, 1.67 compared with Cincinnati’s 1.19, suggesting the result hinged less on chance volume than execution at both ends. Cincinnati’s goalkeeper was particularly influential, saving 87.5% of the shots on target faced and preventing 0.83 goals above expectation. By contrast, NYCFC’s goalkeeper posted a 66.67% save rate and conceded 0.53 goals more than the post-shot model projected. Cincinnati’s extra midfielder helped provide territorial control, yet the visitors still found regular routes to goal and tested the home defence more often. Cincinnati gain the latest edge in this MLS match-up.
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
2 1
Full Time
New York City FC N New York City FC
K. M. Dem11'Evander90+1' G. Valenzuela90+1'
Luighi21' A. Ojeda21'
Starting Line-ups
FC Cincinnati · 3-5-2 New York City FC · 4-2-3-1
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.67
Shots 14 16
Shots on Target 6 8
Possession 56% 44%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.83 1.47
Goals Saved Above xG +0.83 -0.53
Yellow Cards 3 3
Corners 2 5
Total Goals3
Formation3-5-2vs4-2-3-1
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded1.83
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.83
Save %87.5%
New York City FC GK
PSxG conceded1.47
Goals conceded2
Goals saved-0.53
Save %66.7%
FC Cincinnati's keeper stopped about 0.8 goal more than an average keeper would, while New York City FC's keeper let in roughly 0.5 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot