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Sunday, April 26, 2026

FC CincinnatiOpen full analysisNew York Red BullsOpen full analysis

MLS 11.66X4.3824.10
SEO Match Summary
FC Cincinnati claimed a commanding 2–0 victory over New York Red Bulls in MLS action, with Kevin Denkey's brace proving decisive despite the visitors' territorial dominance. Cincinnati's 3–4–1–2 shape proved tactically astute, generating 2.87 xG from just 15 shots, with five efforts on target translating efficiently into goals. The Red Bulls, operating in a 4–3–3 formation, mustered 19 shots and created 1.45 xG, but their finishing proved wasteful; goalkeeper Roman Bürki's perfect 100% save percentage and 0.41 goals saved above xG offered little consolation as they failed to breach Cincinnati's defence. Denkey's clinical finishing was the difference-maker, capitalizing on Cincinnati's superior conversion rate and compact defensive structure. This result strengthens Cincinnati's playoff credentials while highlighting Red Bulls' ongoing struggles to convert chances into points.
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
2 0
Full Time
New York Red Bulls N New York Red Bulls
K. Denkey40', 45+5' P. Bucha40'
Starting Line-ups
FC Cincinnati · 3-4-1-2 New York Red Bulls · 4-3-3
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 2.87 1.45
Shots 15 19
Shots on Target 5 6
Possession 48% 52%
Post-Shot xG Faced 0.41 2.55
Goals Saved Above xG +0.41 +0.55
Yellow Cards 1 2
Corners 4 7
Total Goals2
Formation3-4-1-2vs4-3-3
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded0.41
Goals conceded0
Goals saved0.41
Save %100.0%
New York Red Bulls GK
PSxG conceded2.55
Goals conceded2
Goals saved0.55
Save %60.0%
New York Red Bulls's keeper stopped about 0.6 goal more than an average keeper would, while FC Cincinnati's keeper stopped about 0.4 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot