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Monday, March 9, 2026

FC CincinnatiOpen full analysisToronto FCOpen full analysis

MLS 11.70X3.8924.45
SEO Match Summary
Toronto FC secured a narrow 1-0 victory over FC Cincinnati on 9 March in an MLS encounter defined by contrasting efficiency in the final third. Cincinnati dominated proceedings with 14 shots and 0.99 expected goals but managed only two efforts on target, ultimately finding goalkeeper heroics their only barrier to a heavier defeat. Toronto's clinical approach proved decisive; despite registering 11 shots and 0.73 xG, they converted with precision, with Daniel Salloi's single goal sufficient for victory. The visitors' goalkeeper made a crucial contribution, posting an 80 per cent save percentage whilst performing 0.62 goals above expected, turning back Cincinnati's 3-5-2 attacking setup with composed distribution. Toronto's 3-4-2-1 formation provided structural solidity whilst allowing counter-attacking opportunities, a blueprint that punished Cincinnati's profligacy. Referee Alexis Da Silva oversaw the encounter without notable incident. Toronto's victory marks an important road result against an increasingly frustrated opponent.
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
0 1
Full Time
Toronto FC T Toronto FC
D. Sallói85' R. Laryea85'
Starting Line-ups
FC Cincinnati · 3-5-2 Toronto FC · 3-4-2-1
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 0.99 0.73
Shots 14 11
Shots on Target 2 5
Possession 57% 43%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.62 1.20
Goals Saved Above xG +0.62 +1.20
Yellow Cards 2 2
Corners 8 7
Total Goals1
Formation3-5-2vs3-4-2-1
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded1.62
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.62
Save %80.0%
Toronto FC GK
PSxG conceded1.20
Goals conceded0
Goals saved1.20
Save %100.0%
Toronto FC's keeper stopped about 1.2 goal more than an average keeper would, while FC Cincinnati's keeper stopped about 0.6 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot