Guatemala 2–3 Panama in World Cup Qualifying CONCACAF Group A saw the hosts dominate possession with 62% and 24 shots, generating 2.57 xG, yet fall to a clinical visitor's counter-attacking display. Panama's goalkeeper made crucial saves, stopping 75% of shots on target faced (5 of 8), while Guatemala's stopper could only deny 40% of Panama's attempts (2 of 5 on target). Despite controlling the match through their 3–4–2–1 shape, Guatemala's profligacy in front of goal proved costly; Panama's lean 1.5 xG yielded three goals through ruthless finishing on the break. The away side's compact defensive structure and transition threat exploited spaces left by the home team's attacking ambition, demonstrating that possession and shot volume do not guarantee results in qualifying football. Panama's victory moves them closer to securing automatic qualification.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Guatemala GK
PSxG conceded3.00
Goals conceded3
Goals saved0.00
Save %40.0%
Panama GK
PSxG conceded2.00
Goals conceded2
Goals saved0.00
Save %75.0%
Both keepers had a routine night, with little to separate them.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot
