Houston Dynamo secured a 3-2 victory over Portland Timbers in an MLS encounter that defied expected outcomes, with the hosts capitalising on clinical finishing despite inferior underlying metrics. Portland dominated the shot count with 17 attempts to Houston's 19, but the visitors' 2.37 expected goals substantially outweighed their two-goal haul, suggesting profligacy in front of goal. Houston's 3-4-3 formation proved effective defensively; their goalkeeper faced a save percentage of 50.0 per cent and conceded 2.21 post-shot expected goals, indicating resolute shot-stopping despite the formation's inherent risk. Goals from Mateusz Bogusz and Felipe Andrade, alongside a third unnamed scorer, proved decisive, whilst Gage Guerra and Kristoffer Velde's efforts for Portland proved insufficient. The Timbers' nine shots on target demonstrated superior accuracy, yet Houston's ruthlessness in conversion—scoring three from six on-target attempts—ultimately determined the outcome. Referee Rubiel Vazquez oversaw the fixture without notable controversy. Houston's win demonstrates their capacity to win tight contests despite possession disadvantages.
HHouston Dynamo
3–2
Full Time
PPortland Timbers
F. Andrade77'M. Bogusz90+15'Guilherme62'J. McGlynn90+15'M. Bogusz62'Guilherme77'
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Houston Dynamo GK
PSxG conceded2.39
Goals conceded2
Goals saved0.39
Save %77.8%
Portland Timbers GK
PSxG conceded2.21
Goals conceded3
Goals saved-0.79
Save %50.0%
Houston Dynamo's keeper performed right in line with expectations, while Portland Timbers's keeper let in roughly 0.8 goal more than an average keeper would.
Game finished. Sign up to access full-season histograms, opponent-pulse modules, and referee-tendency analytics.
Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot