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Sunday, May 3, 2026

Inter Miami CFOpen full analysisOrlando City SCOpen full analysis

MLS 11.29X6.3627.70
SEO Match Summary
Orlando City SC's 4–3 victory over Inter Miami CF in an MLS clash on 3 May represented a stunning upset, with the visitors capitalising on clinical finishing despite significant possession disadvantage. Inter Miami dominated territorially, recording 26 shots and 10 on target, generating 3.14 expected goals, yet their goalkeeper's 70 per cent save rate and 0.98 goals saved above expected goals proved insufficient to contain Orlando's ruthlessness. Martin Ojeda's hat-trick proved decisive for the visitors, who managed just 13 shots but converted at an exceptional rate, posting 2.26 xG while Lionel Messi's single goal provided Miami's only notable attacking highlight. Inter Miami's 4–2–2 setup failed to adequately shield their defence, with goalkeeper performance ultimately costing them despite respectable underlying metrics. Orlando's 3–5–2 formation, deployed defensively, executed a textbook counter-attacking masterclass. Referee Guido Gonzales Jr oversaw a high-scoring encounter that underscored Miami's conversion issues. This result significantly impacts Miami's playoff positioning and form trajectory.
Inter Miami CF I Inter Miami CF
3 4
Full Time
Orlando City SC O Orlando City SC
I. Fray4'L. Messi33'T. Segovia25' L. Messi25'T. Segovia4'L. Suárez33'
M. Ojeda39', 68', 78'T. Spicer90+3' A. Marín68'B. Ojeda90+3'J. Ellis39'
Starting Line-ups
Inter Miami CF · 4-2-2-2 Orlando City SC · 3-5-2
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 3.14 2.26
Shots 26 13
Shots on Target 10 9
Possession 64% 36%
Post-Shot xG Faced 4.51 3.98
Goals Saved Above xG +0.51 +0.98
Yellow Cards 4 3
Corners 10 2
Total Goals7
Formation4-2-2-2vs3-5-2
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Inter Miami CF GK
PSxG conceded4.51
Goals conceded4
Goals saved0.51
Save %55.6%
Orlando City SC GK
PSxG conceded3.98
Goals conceded3
Goals saved0.98
Save %70.0%
Orlando City SC's keeper stopped about 1.0 goal more than an average keeper would, while Inter Miami CF's keeper stopped about 0.5 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot