Paraguay secured a 2-1 victory over Mexico in an International Friendly on 19 November, exploiting superior shot volume to overcome their hosts' expected goals advantage. Mexico dominated the early tactical framework with a 4-3-3 formation and generated 2.23 xG from nine attempts, yet their finishing proved inefficient with only four shots on target. Paraguay's 4-2-3-1 setup proved more clinical, accumulating 14 shots and 7 on target to register 2.52 xG, translating their attacking threat into goals. Mexico's goalkeeper maintained a 75 per cent save percentage but couldn't prevent the Paraguay onslaught, conceding two despite a positive expected goals differential. The disparity in shot accuracy—Paraguay converting at a higher rate despite similar underlying metrics—highlighted the visitors' clinical edge in the final third. This friendly result offers Paraguay momentum heading into competitive fixtures while Mexico must address their conversion efficiency.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Mexico GK
PSxG conceded2.00
Goals conceded2
Goals saved0.00
Save %71.4%
Paraguay GK
PSxG conceded1.00
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.00
Save %75.0%
Both keepers had a routine night, with little to separate them.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot