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Sunday, July 26, 2026

New York City FCOpen full analysisChicago FireOpen full analysis

MLS 12.34X3.6522.73
SEO Match Summary
New York City FC defeated Chicago Fire 3–1 in an MLS encounter where clinical finishing proved decisive despite the visitors controlling possession. Chicago dominated the ball with 54 per cent possession and registered five shots on target, yet their goalkeeper conceded 1.37 goals above expected, undermining their attacking threat. NYCFC, operating in a 4–1–4–1 shape, made their limited chances count; Nicolas Fernandez and Agustin Ojeda each scored once, while the hosts' goalkeeper maintained an 80 per cent save rate across five shots faced. The underlying metrics were tightly matched—Chicago's 1.36 xG nearly matched NYCFC's 1.39—but the home side's superior conversion rate and goalkeeper performance separated the sides decisively. Referee Ricardo Montero oversaw a match where both teams created similar quality opportunities, yet NYCFC's ruthlessness in front of goal delivered the three points. The result strengthens NYCFC's mid-season standing in the Eastern Conference.
New York City FC N New York City FC
3 1
Full Time
Chicago Fire C Chicago Fire
A. Ojeda29'N. Fernández10'M. Jones41' A. Ojeda41'A. Perea29'
J. Waterman21'
Starting Line-ups
New York City FC · 4-1-4-1 Chicago Fire · 4-4-2
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 1.39 1.36
Shots 10 9
Shots on Target 3 5
Possession 46% 54%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.83 1.63
Yellow Cards 1 3
Corners 1 2
Total Goals4
Formation4-1-4-1vs4-4-2
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

New York City FC GK
PSxG conceded1.83
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.83
Save %80.0%
Chicago Fire GK
PSxG conceded1.63
Goals conceded3
Goals saved-1.37
Save %0.0%
New York City FC's keeper stopped about 0.8 goal more than an average keeper would, while Chicago Fire's keeper let in roughly 1.4 goal more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot