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Thursday, April 23, 2026

New York City FCOpen full analysisFC CincinnatiOpen full analysis

MLS 11.84X3.8823.80
SEO Match Summary
New York City FC and FC Cincinnati played out a 4–4 draw in an MLS encounter that exposed defensive fragility on both sides. NYCFC dominated territorially with 17 shots to Cincinnati's 12, though both teams underperformed their expected goals tallies—the hosts managed just 1.8 xG while Cincinnati recorded 1.66 xG. NYCFC's goalkeeper struggled with a 55.56% save percentage and conceded 0.72 goals above expected, undermining their 4–2–3–1 setup's defensive structure. Nicolas Fernandez and Kevin Denkey each scored twice, with Denkey's brace proving crucial in keeping Cincinnati level despite operating in a 3–4–1–2 formation. NYCFC's superior shot volume failed to translate into a decisive advantage, as Cincinnati's compact shape and direct approach repeatedly caught their opponents off guard. The draw leaves both teams with unresolved defensive issues heading into their next fixtures.
New York City FC N New York City FC
4 4
Draw
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
A. Ojeda53'N. Fernández20', 35'T. Magno79' A. O'Neill53'A. Ojeda79'M. Moralez35'
Evander90+5'K. Denkey32', 65'A. Chirila90+2' E. Echenique32'P. Bucha90+2'G. Valenzuela65'
Starting Line-ups
New York City FC · 4-2-3-1 FC Cincinnati · 3-4-1-2
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 1.80 1.66
Shots 17 12
Shots on Target 9 6
Possession 55% 45%
Post-Shot xG Faced 2.42 3.28
Yellow Cards 0 3
Corners 2 4
Total Goals8
Formation4-2-3-1vs3-4-1-2
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

New York City FC GK
PSxG conceded2.42
Goals conceded4
Goals saved-1.58
Save %33.3%
FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded3.28
Goals conceded4
Goals saved-0.72
Save %55.6%
FC Cincinnati's keeper let in roughly 0.7 goal more than an average keeper would, while New York City FC's keeper let in roughly 1.6 goals more than an average keeper would.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot