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Sunday, April 5, 2026

New York Red BullsOpen full analysisFC CincinnatiOpen full analysis

MLS 11.94X3.8823.48
SEO Match Summary
New York Red Bulls defeated FC Cincinnati 4-2 in MLS action, with the hosts capitalising on clinical finishing despite being outshot in expected goals. Cincinnati's 4-4-2 formation generated 2.8 xG from 17 shots, yet the Red Bulls' 4-3-3 setup proved more efficient in front of goal, converting chances effectively despite posting just 2.0 xG. The Red Bulls managed six shots on target from 18 attempts, while Cincinnati matched that conversion rate with identical shot accuracy, though the visitors' goalkeeper had little opportunity to influence proceedings. Mohammed Sofo, Emil Forsberg and Julian Hall each netted once for New York, with Pavel Bucha's lone goal insufficient for Cincinnati's comeback bid. Red Bulls goalkeeper recorded a 33.33 per cent save percentage, though his performance was bolstered by an expected goals conceded of 1.79, suggesting superior defensive shape compensated for individual lapses. This victory extends New York's advantage in the season series against Cincinnati.
New York Red Bulls N New York Red Bulls
4 2
Full Time
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
E. Forsberg48'J. Hall12'M. Sofo90+3' R. Donkor90+3'C. Cowell12'
K. Smith72'P. Bucha17' K. Denkey17'
Starting Line-ups
New York Red Bulls · 4-3-3 FC Cincinnati · 4-4-2
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.80
Shots 18 17
Shots on Target 6 6
Possession 52% 48%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.97 1.79
Yellow Cards 2 2
Red Cards 0 1
Corners 2 6
Total Goals6
Formation4-3-3vs4-4-2
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

New York Red Bulls GK
PSxG conceded1.97
Goals conceded2
Goals saved-0.03
Save %66.7%
FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded1.79
Goals conceded4
Goals saved-2.21
Save %33.3%
New York Red Bulls's keeper performed right in line with expectations, while FC Cincinnati's keeper had a night to forget.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot