Leeds United beat Nottingham Forest 1-0 in the Premier League, with both sides using a 3-4-2-1 shape but the visitors proving more effective without controlling the ball. Anton Stach scored the only goal, rewarding a Leeds performance built on defensive discipline and greater precision in the decisive areas. Forest held 56% possession and registered 12 shots to Leeds’ 11, yet the hosts managed only two efforts on target compared with the visitors’ three. The underlying figures reflected a closely balanced contest: Forest produced 0.66 xG, while Leeds recorded 0.47, suggesting clear chances were limited despite the home side’s territorial advantage. Goalkeeping also shaped the outcome. The Leeds goalkeeper saved both shots faced for a 100% save rate and prevented 0.33 goals above expectation, whereas Forest’s goalkeeper stopped 66.67% of Leeds’ attempts on target. Robert Jones oversaw a match in which the shared formations created a largely congested central contest, leaving efficiency rather than volume to separate the teams. Leeds take three valuable early-season points from a narrow away win.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Nottingham Forest GK
PSxG conceded0.53
Goals conceded1
Goals saved-0.47
Save %66.7%
Leeds United GK
PSxG conceded0.33
Goals conceded0
Goals saved0.33
Save %100.0%
Leeds United's keeper performed right in line with expectations, while Nottingham Forest's keeper let in roughly 0.5 goal more than an average keeper would.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot