Portugal advanced from their World Cup knockout tie against Croatia with a 2–1 victory, controlling proceedings through superior possession and clinical finishing. The hosts dominated with 60 per cent possession and generated an expected goals tally of 2.2, converting two of their three shots on target into goals through Cristiano Ronaldo and Goncalo Ramos. Croatia, operating in a 4–2–3–1 formation matching Portugal's setup, created less but remained threatening, registering six shots on target and 1.34 xG; Ivan Perisic's finish accounted for their sole goal. Portugal's goalkeeper proved decisive, saving at 83 per cent efficiency across six shots faced and overperforming his expected goals conceded by 0.51, while Croatia's shot-stopper managed only 33 per cent on three attempts. The Portuguese controlled the tempo without overwhelming their opponents, reflecting a composed, pragmatic approach befitting knockout football. Portugal's efficiency in front of goal proved the difference in a closely contested affair.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Portugal GK
PSxG conceded1.51
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.51
Save %83.3%
Croatia GK
PSxG conceded1.85
Goals conceded2
Goals saved-0.15
Save %33.3%
Portugal's keeper stopped about 0.5 goal more than an average keeper would, while Croatia's keeper performed right in line with expectations.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot