Atlanta United secured a 2-1 victory over Toronto FC on 25 April in an MLS encounter that exposed Toronto's defensive vulnerabilities despite their superior shot count. Operating in a 4-2-3-1 formation, Toronto dominated territorially with nine attempts to Atlanta's six, yet both sides generated identical expected goals of 0.62, indicating comparable quality of chances. Toronto's goalkeeper proved costly, saving at only 50 per cent and conceding 0.67 goals above expected performance, directly contributing to the defeat. Atlanta's 4-1-4-1 setup proved more clinical, with Aleksey Miranchuk and Tristan Muyumba finding the net alongside Emilio Aristizabal's consolation for the hosts. Toronto's two shots on target matched Atlanta's output, yet the visitors' efficiency in transition proved decisive. Referee Ismail Elfath oversaw a relatively controlled match without major controversy. This loss highlights Toronto's ongoing difficulty converting dominance into results.
Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.
Toronto FC GK
PSxG conceded0.52
Goals conceded2
Goals saved-1.48
Save %0.0%
Atlanta United GK
PSxG conceded0.33
Goals conceded1
Goals saved-0.67
Save %50.0%
Atlanta United's keeper let in roughly 0.7 goal more than an average keeper would, while Toronto FC's keeper let in roughly 1.5 goal more than an average keeper would.
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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot