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Saturday, April 4, 2026

Toronto FCOpen full analysisColorado RapidsOpen full analysis

MLS 11.98X3.6423.50
SEO Match Summary
Toronto FC secured a 3-2 victory over Colorado Rapids in an MLS encounter that highlighted the hosts' dominance in chance creation despite defensive vulnerability. The home side controlled proceedings with 17 shots to Colorado's five, though their conversion proved inefficient relative to their expected goals of 1.79. Toronto's goalkeeper struggled with a 40 per cent save percentage and conceded 1.61 goals above expected, suggesting defensive frailty that nearly cost them despite their attacking superiority. Colorado's compact 4-2-3-1 setup yielded limited opportunities—just 0.46 xG from five attempts—yet Paxten Aaronson's goal kept the visitors competitive until the final stages. Josh Sargent and Richie Laryea added Toronto's other goals in a match where the visitors' shot accuracy (four on target from five) proved more clinical than the statistics might suggest. This result underscores Toronto's attacking potential but exposes goalkeeper concerns moving forward.
Toronto FC T Toronto FC
3 2
Full Time
Colorado Rapids C Colorado Rapids
R. Laryea65'J. Sargent85' A. Coello85'J. Sargent65'
P. Aaronson51'K. Rosenberry54'
Starting Line-ups
Toronto FC · 4-2-3-1 Colorado Rapids · 4-2-3-1
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 0.46
Shots 17 5
Shots on Target 5 4
Possession 54% 46%
Post-Shot xG Faced 0.78 1.39
Yellow Cards 3 5
Red Cards 1 2
Corners 7 4
Total Goals5
Formation4-2-3-1vs4-2-3-1
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Toronto FC GK
PSxG conceded0.78
Goals conceded2
Goals saved-1.22
Save %50.0%
Colorado Rapids GK
PSxG conceded1.39
Goals conceded3
Goals saved-1.61
Save %40.0%
Neither keeper had his best night, with both beaten more often than the chances warranted.

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Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot