Return to calendar
Saturday, April 11, 2026

Toronto FCOpen full analysisFC CincinnatiOpen full analysis

MLS 12.45X3.5622.66
SEO Match Summary
Toronto FC and FC Cincinnati drew 1-1 in an MLS encounter on 11 April, with both sides struggling to convert limited chances despite contrasting approaches. Toronto dominated territorially with 10 shots, though only three found the target, generating 0.52 expected goals from their 3-4-2-1 setup. Cincinnati, operating in a 3-4-1-2 formation, proved more clinical with four shots on target from seven attempts and 0.66 xG, with Kenji Mboma Dem scoring their goal. Toronto's goalkeeper made a 66.67 per cent save rate but was caught out by -0.31 goals saved above expected, suggesting some defensive vulnerability in transition. The visitors' superior shot efficiency and xG advantage indicated they created the better opportunities despite attempting fewer efforts overall. Referee Ricardo Fierro managed a relatively clean encounter with minimal controversy. Both sides remain unresolved in their attacking execution despite tactical solidity.
Toronto FC T Toronto FC
1 1
Draw
FC Cincinnati F FC Cincinnati
K. M. Dem90+2' A. Jabbari90+2'
Starting Line-ups
Toronto FC · 3-4-2-1 FC Cincinnati · 3-4-1-2
Tap a player for name & stats ·  goal   assist
Expected Goals (xG) 0.52 0.66
Shots 10 7
Shots on Target 3 4
Possession 49% 51%
Post-Shot xG Faced 1.46 0.69
Goals Saved Above xG +0.46 -0.31
Yellow Cards 2 3
Red Cards 0 1
Corners 7 4
Total Goals2
Formation3-4-2-1vs3-4-1-2
Goalkeeper Performance

Read it this way: PSxG conceded is how dangerous the shots on target were, Goals conceded is how many actually went in, Goals saved is the gap between the two (higher is better, a minus means he should have saved more), and Save % is the share of on-target shots kept out.

Toronto FC GK
PSxG conceded1.46
Goals conceded1
Goals saved0.46
Save %75.0%
FC Cincinnati GK
PSxG conceded0.69
Goals conceded1
Goals saved-0.31
Save %66.7%
Toronto FC's keeper stopped about 0.5 goal more than an average keeper would, while FC Cincinnati's keeper performed right in line with expectations.

Game finished. Sign up to access full-season histograms, opponent-pulse modules, and referee-tendency analytics.

Inside the dashboards
Attack vs DefensexG, shots & goals — Home/Away per competition
Form Index & ReboundL5 momentum bar with rebound state per team
Goal Geolocation MapWhere the team scores & concedes — pitch heat
Cards IntelligenceYellow/Red filtered by referee & formation
Corner MasteryDistribution per opponent & tactical context
Top Scorers Cross-RefSquad ranked vs opponent & double-scorer combos
Referee TendencyTeam output under each referee they played for
Goalkeeper WeaknessWhere the keeper concedes — by zone & foot