Hamburger SV beat Toulouse 2-1 in the Club Friendly Games on 15 August 2026, prevailing despite an even share of possession and a lower expected-goals total. Both sides used 3-4-2-1 systems, producing a tactically balanced contest in which the central midfield battle limited clear statistical separation. Toulouse held 50% possession and generated 1.64 xG, double Hamburg’s 0.8, yet the visitors turned their chances into two goals while Toulouse scored once. With no goalscorer data supplied and shots figures recorded as zero for both teams, the scoreline and chance-quality metrics provide the clearest account of the match: Toulouse created the stronger underlying opportunities, but Hamburg secured the more decisive outcome. The goalkeepers’ post-shot xG conceded aligned exactly with the goals allowed, at 2.0 for Toulouse and 1.0 for Hamburg, while both recorded 0.0 goals saved above expectation. Hamburg take a useful friendly win into their preparations.