Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Adrian MannarinoOpen full analysisJannik SinnerOpen full analysis

Cincinnati MastershardR16Wednesday, August 13, 2025
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 7%93% Sinner
14.37Recorded odds1.05
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Adrian MannarinoVSJannik Sinner
4Set 16
6Set 27

Jannik Sinner won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Adrian MannarinoJannik Sinner
38%
Career Win %
78%
36%
Win % on Hard
79%
76%
Holds Serve
88%
17%
Breaks Serve
28%
61%
1st Serve In
61%
68%
1st Serve Won
76%
35%
Return Pts Won
41%
5.0
Aces / match
6.5
37%
Tiebreak %
69%
61%
Deciding-set %
56%
1442
Rating
2147
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Adrian Mannarino83 serves
Where they place their serve
Jannik Sinner62 serves
Where they place their serve
17%Wide
18%Body
17%T
10%T
10%Body
29%Wide
18%Wide
19%Body
16%T
16%T
13%Body
18%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide29%
Top targetDeuce · Body19%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Jannik Sinner defeated Adrian Mannarino 6–4, 7–6 in the second round of the Cincinnati Masters on hard court on 13 August 2025, confirming his status as the overwhelming pre-match favourite with odds of 1.05 to Mannarino's 14.37. The Italian top seed navigated a competitive encounter against the French left-hander, securing the opening set before edging a tight second-set tiebreak to advance. Sinner's victory maintains momentum in his Cincinnati campaign as he pursues another strong showing at this Masters 1000 event.