Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Adrian MannarinoOpen full analysisRinky HijikataOpen full analysis

Australian OpenhardR128Monday, January 19, 2026
No-vig market probability
Mannarino 41%59% Hijikata
2.31Recorded odds1.60
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Adrian MannarinoVSRinky Hijikata
3Set 16
3Set 26
1Set 36

Rinky Hijikata won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Adrian MannarinoRinky Hijikata
38%
Career Win %
42%
36%
Win % on Hard
47%
76%
Holds Serve
73%
17%
Breaks Serve
19%
61%
1st Serve In
58%
68%
1st Serve Won
68%
35%
Return Pts Won
36%
5.0
Aces / match
5.6
37%
Tiebreak %
73%
61%
Deciding-set %
50%
1442
Rating
1511
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Adrian Mannarino74 serves
Where they place their serve
Rinky Hijikata89 serves
Where they place their serve
16%Wide
11%Body
24%T
11%T
1%Body
36%Wide
24%Wide
11%Body
16%T
15%T
11%Body
24%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetAd · Wide36%
Top targetDeuce · Wide24%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Rinky Hijikata defeated Adrian Mannarino 6–3, 6–3, 6–1 in the first round of the Australian Open on hard court on 19 January 2026, confirming his pre-match favourite status with a commanding performance. The Japanese player controlled proceedings throughout, breaking down the French veteran's resistance with consistent intensity across all three sets. Mannarino, seeded or ranked lower coming into the match, offered limited resistance as Hijikata's dominance grew more pronounced as the contest progressed, particularly in the third set where the scoreline became a rout. The victory suggests Hijikata has carried strong form into the opening Grand Slam of the year and will face a considerably stiffer test in the second round.