Country Name Tour Elo rank Wins Overall Elo Opponent Opp wins Opp Elo Match Time Hand Last 10
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FINISHED MATCH · RECAP

Ajla TomljanovicOpen full analysisElena RybakinaOpen full analysis

NingbohardQFFriday, October 17, 2025
No-vig market probability
Tomljanovic 15%85% Rybakina
6.51Recorded odds1.15
FINAL RESULT

Match score

Ajla TomljanovicVSElena Rybakina
2Set 16
0Set 26

Elena Rybakina won the match

CAREER COMPARISON

Player records

Ajla TomljanovicElena Rybakina
24%
Career Win %
78%
29%
Win % on Hard
80%
60%
Holds Serve
81%
25%
Breaks Serve
35%
60%
1st Serve In
58%
61%
1st Serve Won
73%
39%
Return Pts Won
44%
2.0
Aces / match
6.4
67%
Tiebreak %
57%
29%
Deciding-set %
60%
1464
Rating
1954
SERVICE PLACEMENT

Serve targets from this match

Ajla Tomljanovic53 serves
Where they place their serve
Elena Rybakina36 serves
Where they place their serve
13%Wide
23%Body
17%T
15%T
15%Body
17%Wide
17%Wide
11%Body
28%T
6%T
8%Body
31%Wide
DeuceAdDeuceAd
Top targetDeuce · Body23%
Top targetAd · Wide31%
MATCH STORY

PhantomStat recap

Elena Rybakina defeated Ajla Tomljanovic 6-2, 6-0 in the quarter-final of the WTA 250 Ningbo event on hard court on 17 October 2025. As the heavy favourite with odds of 1.15, Rybakina delivered a dominant performance to advance, dismantling Tomljanovic, who entered as a 6.51 outsider. The decisive scoreline underscored the gulf in form between the two players, with Rybakina controlling proceedings throughout to claim the quarter-final berth. The result reinforces Rybakina's status as a force on hard courts and keeps her on course for the title.